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Luparense FC vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Syku T.
24' Event
Syku T.
38' Event
Addiego Mobilio A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luparense FC
6%
Draws
4%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luparense FC lately — more wins on the board than Adriese.
  • Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Adriese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Adriese
4:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Luparense FC
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Adriese
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Luparense FC
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Adriese
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Syku T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coniglio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 95 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Adriese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Adriese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)