Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Bearzotti E.
77' Event
Yabre A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Luparense FC
20%
Draws
17%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brian Lignano lately — more wins on the board than Luparense FC.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Luparense FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Brian Lignano
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
3:0
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yabre A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bearzotti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 95 / 100
Brian Lignano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luparense FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Brian Lignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Brian Lignano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 7

Brian Lignano

(Away)
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)