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Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Bearzotti E.
77' Event
Yabre A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Luparense FC
6%
Draws
90%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brian Lignano lately — more wins on the board than Luparense FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brian Lignano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 11%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
3:0
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yabre A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bearzotti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 10 / 100
Brian Lignano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Brian Lignano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Brian Lignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Luparense FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Brian Lignano
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111