Sport Picks
Luparense FC vs Castegnato Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Luparense FC and Castegnato finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castegnato haven't matched Luparense FC's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Luparense FC taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Luparense FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luparense FC | Castegnato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luparense FC Compare
Castegnato Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castegnato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Luparense FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Luparense FC scored in 73% of their last 37 games.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Luparense FC
(Home)Castegnato
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clodiense | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 49:17 | 80 |
| 2 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 56:25 | 66 |
| 3 | Treviso | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 51:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 42:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Este | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 7 | Montecchio Maggiore | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 8 | Adriese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:41 | 50 |
| 9 | Portogruaro | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Montebelluna | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Chions | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:50 | 41 |
| 13 | Luparense FC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Castegnato | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Virtus Bolzano | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 25:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Mori | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22:76 | 15 |
