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Luparense FC vs San Luigi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Crosara M.
69' Event
Coniglio F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Luparense FC
17%
Draws
13%
San Luigi
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luparense FC lately — more wins on the board than San Luigi.
  • Model gives Luparense FC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC San Luigi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs San Luigi
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Luparense FC
1:3
Jan 15, 2020 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Luparense FC
1:3
Sep 11, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs San Luigi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Coniglio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Luigi Compare

Top Goalscorer Crosara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 77 / 100
San Luigi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC San Luigi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

San Luigi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Luparense FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS San Luigi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

San Luigi

(Away)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)