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Luparense FC vs San Martino Speme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Laurenti G.
14' Event
Polo T.
33'
Ferrarese N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Luparense FC and San Martino Speme finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luparense FC
33%
Draws
27%
San Martino Speme
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martino Speme haven't matched Luparense FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 20%
San Martino Speme Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC San Martino Speme
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 14 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs San Martino Speme
3:1
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group C
San Martino Speme vs Luparense FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Laurenti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruggero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Martino Speme Compare

Top Goalscorer Polo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 40 / 100
San Martino Speme 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC San Martino Speme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martino Speme has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Luparense FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Luparense FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
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San Martino Speme

(Away)
15 May
Este
1 : 0
San Martino Speme
08 May
San Martino Speme
1 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Adriese
2 : 0
San Martino Speme
27 Apr
Cattolica Calcio
0 : 1
San Martino Speme
23 Apr
San Martino Speme
3 : 3
Arzignano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arzignano342110374:3273
2Clodiense342012253:2272
3Adriese34199661:3666
4Luparense FC341610860:3558
5Campodarsego341511848:3756
6Caldiero Terme341561358:5051
7Dolomiti Bellunesi341481251:5050
8Montebelluna341471357:5249
9Mestre341371436:4546
10Cjarlins Muzane3411121151:4345
11Cartigliano3411121144:4045
12Este3410131131:4243
13Levico Terme341191431:4042
14Ambrosiana341171645:5240
15Delta Porto Tolle341061843:5136
16Spinea34672127:5825
17Cattolica Calcio34652320:6123
18San Martino Speme34552429:7320
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)