Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luparense FC vs Tamai

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC play Tamai in the Serie D - Group C 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Luparense FC averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Tamai averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Luparense FC won 2, Tamai won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 19, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Luparense FC and 1.00 for Tamai. This points to a Luparense FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Luparense FC
31%
Draws
26%
Tamai
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Luparense FC picked up more points recently compared to Tamai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 23%
Tamai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Tamai
Matches Played 46 19
Wins 17 6
Draws 17 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.46 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Tamai
1:0
Sep 15, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Luparense FC
3:3
Mar 13, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Luparense FC
0:2
Nov 1, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Tamai
2:2
Feb 23, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Luparense FC
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 43 / 100
Tamai 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Tamai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Luparense FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luparense FC attacking → ← attacking Tamai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 76% of their last 46 games.

Tamai let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Luparense FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tamai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 19
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00