Sport Picks
Luparense FC vs Virtus Bolzano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group C 
Match Events
45'
45'
Antoniazzi M.
47'
47'
Diallo C.
74'
74'
Chiesurin A.
AI Match Summary
Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luparense FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Luparense FC have won more games recently than Virtus Bolzano.
- Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Luparense FC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luparense FC | Virtus Bolzano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Virtus Bolzano
4:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense FC
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Virtus Bolzano
3:1
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Virtus Bolzano
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luparense FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Antoniazzi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Virtus Bolzano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luparense FC 95 / 100
Virtus Bolzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luparense FC Virtus Bolzano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Bolzano has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Luparense FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Luparense FC scored in 77% of their last 35 games.
Scoring Trends
Luparense FC VS Virtus Bolzano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Luparense FC
(Home) 11 Oct
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Este
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0 Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0 Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Este
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0 Clodiense
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1 Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
Page 1 of 4
Virtus Bolzano
(Away) 11 Oct
Campodarsego
4 : 1 Virtus Bolzano
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3 Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1 Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Campodarsego
4 : 1 Virtus Bolzano
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cjarlins Muzane | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Luparense FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Calcio San Dona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Clodiense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Bassano Virtus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Calvi Noale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Lavarian Mortean Esperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Este | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Legnago Salus | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Conegliano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 7 |
| 13 | Altavilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Triestina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:18 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Obermais | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Schio | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Brian Lignano | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
