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Lupe ole Soaga vs Ba

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mason J.
29' Event
Mosquera T.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Taualai V.

AI Match Summary

Lupe ole Soaga in this OFC Champions League 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lupe ole Soaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lupe ole Soaga
15%
Draws
61%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Lupe ole Soaga haven't matched Ba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lupe ole Soaga a 24% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 13%
Ba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupe ole Soaga Ba
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 22
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2.83 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2020 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Ba
4:3
Apr 14, 2015 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Ba
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taualai V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiwa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waqa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupe ole Soaga 57 / 100
Ba 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupe ole Soaga Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Lupe ole Soaga's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ba has conceded goals in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Lupe ole Soaga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ba
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupe ole Soaga

(Home)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
Page 1 of 6

Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 ABM Galaxy 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Hienghene Sport 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malampa Revivors 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Henderson Eels 3 1 2 0 8:7 5
3 Lae City 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Lautoka 3 0 1 2 3:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Solomon Warriors 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Tiare 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
4 Tupapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Venus 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Lupe ole Soaga 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Ba 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)