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Luqa vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cumbo C.
22' Event
Cumbo C.
63' Event
Gyamfi C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Luqa
35%
Draws
32%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Andrews lately — more wins on the board than Luqa.
  • Win probability leans Luqa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Luqa Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luqa St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Luqa
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Challenge League
Luqa vs St. Andrews
2:2
Dec 17, 2023 Challenge League
Luqa vs St. Andrews
2:2
Mar 5, 2022 Challenge League
Luqa vs St. Andrews
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Luqa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luqa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyamfi C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Cumbo C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luqa 42 / 100
St. Andrews 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luqa St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luqa's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Andrews's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: St. Andrews registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Andrews
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luqa

(Home)
05 May
St. Andrews
1 : 0
Luqa
28 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3
Luqa
21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2
St. Andrews
14 Apr
Zebbug
4 : 0
Luqa
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4
Swieqi
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)