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Lurgan Celtic vs Knockbreda

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lurgan Celtic
15%
Draws
42%
Knockbreda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lurgan Celtic haven't matched Knockbreda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lurgan Celtic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Celtic Knockbreda
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.83 1.34
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2018 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
7:0
Feb 24, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Knockbreda
1:1
Dec 30, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Knockbreda
1:1
Sep 16, 2017 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
4:2
Mar 25, 2017 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 85 / 100
Knockbreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Celtic Knockbreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Knockbreda let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Knockbreda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lurgan Celtic's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Knockbreda
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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Knockbreda

(Away)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)