Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009

Islandmagee

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lurgan Town Boys play Islandmagee in the Irish Cup 2008/2009. Islandmagee are favorites here. Recently, Lurgan Town Boys averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. Islandmagee averaged 2.66 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. In past meetings, Lurgan Town Boys won 0, Islandmagee won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 25, 2008 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Lurgan Town Boys and 2.91 for Islandmagee. This points to a Islandmagee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Lurgan Town Boys

15%

Draws

57%

Islandmagee

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Islandmagee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Lurgan Town Boys picked up more points recently compared to Islandmagee.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 2.91 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 55%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Lurgan Town Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lurgan Town Boys	Islandmagee
Matches Played	14	29
Wins	5	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.79	2.66
Goals Conceded	2.86	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.43	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2008 Irish Cup

Lurgan Town Boys vs Islandmagee

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Town Boys 27 / 100

Islandmagee 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lurgan Town Boys Islandmagee

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Islandmagee Win (2)

Secondary Pick Islandmagee & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.4%

1.18

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lurgan Town Boys attacking → ← attacking Islandmagee

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Town Boys scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Islandmagee let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Lurgan Town Boys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Islandmagee lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 54

1.71 Goals expected (xG) 3.38

2.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75