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Lusaca W vs Vitoria W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria W in this Baiano Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
57%
Vitoria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria W lately — more wins on the board than Lusaca W.
  • Vitoria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitoria W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Vitoria W
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 14 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.67 2.93
Goals Conceded 3.09 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Lusaca W
4:0
Sep 15, 2024 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Vitoria W
1:9
Aug 24, 2024 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Lusaca W
8:0
Aug 12, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Lusaca W
0:0
Sep 25, 2022 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Vitoria W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 10 / 100
Vitoria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Vitoria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Lusaca W scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Vitoria W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 42 matches.

Lusaca W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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Vitoria W

(Away)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 6 1 0 36:4 19
2 Doce Mel W 7 5 1 1 25:7 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 31:11 15
4 Vitoria W 7 5 0 2 23:8 15
5 Juventude Conquista W 7 3 0 4 11:9 9
6 Jacuipense W 7 2 0 5 6:16 6
7 Lusaca W 7 1 0 6 5:25 3
8 Leonico W 7 0 0 7 2:59 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2022 (Play Offs)