Sport Picks

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Lusail vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dal Bello Fagundes C. D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Bidda in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lusail
11%
Draws
9%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lusail have won more games recently than Al Bidda.
  • Win probability leans Lusail's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Lusail have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Bidda, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Bidda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lusail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Bidda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
1:2
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
3:2
Dec 16, 2024 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 76 / 100
Al Bidda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Al Bidda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Bidda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Bidda
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

Al Bidda

(Away)
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)