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Lusail vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dal Bello Fagundes C. D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Bidda in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lusail
30%
Draws
47%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Bidda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Bidda have won more games recently than Lusail.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Al Bidda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Bidda, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Bidda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lusail Clean Sheet 16%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Bidda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
1:2
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
3:2
Dec 16, 2024 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 36 / 100
Al Bidda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Bidda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Al Bidda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lusail went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Bidda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

Al Bidda

(Away)
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)