Sport Picks
Lusail vs Al Markhiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
54'
54'
Stojanovski G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Markhiya lately — more wins on the board than Lusail.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Al Markhiya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Markhiya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lusail Clean Sheet 13%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lusail | Al Markhiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Lusail
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
1:2
Feb 3, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lusail Compare
Top Goalscorer Stojanovski G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Al Markhiya Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lusail 31 / 100
Al Markhiya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lusail Al Markhiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Lusail remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Al Markhiya let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Lusail VS Al Markhiya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lusail
(Home) 29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1 Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2 Al Bidda
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Lusail
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 3
Al Markhiya
(Away) 29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Duhail | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Umm-Salal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Qatar SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusail | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Waab | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Muaither SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shahaniya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Rayyan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Ahli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Markhiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Kharitiyath | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Mesaimeer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Khor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Bidda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)
