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Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Firouzi H.
32' Event
Taher Khan M.
35' Event
Roustaei A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Lusail and Al Mesaimeer finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lusail
30%
Draws
33%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lusail's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Al Mesaimeer have produced (1.45).
  • Lusail are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lusail have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lusail Clean Sheet 16%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Firouzi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taher Khan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 48 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Mesaimeer conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Lusail remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Mesaimeer
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
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Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)