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Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Firouzi H.
32' Event
Taher Khan M.
35' Event
Roustaei A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Lusail and Al Mesaimeer finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lusail
39%
Draws
31%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lusail have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lusail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Firouzi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taher Khan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 31 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Mesaimeer conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Al Mesaimeer has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Mesaimeer
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
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Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
15 Mar
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)