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Lusail vs Al-Waab

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Lusail Logo

Lusail

1 - 2
FT
Al-Waab Logo

Al-Waab

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gueye O.
40' Event
Sassi Z.
66' Event
Bakayoko A.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Lusail and Al-Waab finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Waab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lusail
20%
Draws
46%
Al-Waab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lusail's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Al-Waab have produced (1.34).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lusail Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al-Waab
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al-Waab
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Emir Cup
Al-Waab vs Lusail
2:0
Aug 19, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 21, 2025 Emir Cup
Al-Waab vs Lusail
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Lusail
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sassi Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 32 / 100
Al-Waab 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al-Waab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Al-Waab has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Lusail went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al-Waab
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

Al-Waab

(Away)
30 Jul
Kazma SC
2 : 2
Al-Waab
30 Apr
Al-Kharitiyath
0 : 1
Al-Waab
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)