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Lusail vs Shamal Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusail host Shamal in the QSL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Shamal have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Lusail have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Lusail have won 1 to Shamal's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.06, favoring Shamal. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lusail
35%
Draws
31%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lusail haven't matched Shamal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lusail's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Shamal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 QSL 2
Lusail vs Shamal
0:1
Jan 1, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Lusail
0:1
Oct 29, 2020 QSL 2
Lusail vs Shamal
1:5
Apr 3, 2020 QSL 2
Shamal vs Lusail
0:0
Jan 22, 2020 QSL 2
Lusail vs Shamal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 34 / 100
Shamal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Lusail has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shamal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Shamal
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
29 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
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Shamal

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)