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Lusitania FC vs AFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa, Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rosic L.
21'
Rodrigues C.
26' Event
Collard D.

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lusitania FC
20%
Draws
35%
AFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AFS haven't matched Lusitania FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lusitania FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
AFS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC AFS
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs AFS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Collard D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borges M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Pinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 50 / 100
AFS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC AFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lusitania FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lusitania FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

AFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS AFS
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

AFS

(Away)
09 Oct
Penafiel
1 : 2
AFS
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)