Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs Feirense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa, Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Silverio
49'
Leal A.
51'
dos Santos L.

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lusitania FC
39%
Draws
31%
Feirense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Feirense lately — more wins on the board than Lusitania FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lusitania FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
Feirense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Feirense
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Feirense
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Lusitania FC
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Lusitania FC
3:0
May 26, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Feirense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 41 / 100
Feirense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Feirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitania FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Feirense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lusitania FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS Feirense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 5

Feirense

(Away)
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0
Arouca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2
Oliveirense
03 May
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 2
Feirense
28 Apr
Feirense
0 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)