Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs Torreense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa, Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Fabinho
41'
Sub
Mohamed D. In: Perez H.
Out: Mohamed D.
42'
Paulo D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lusitania FC
30%
Draws
27%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lusitania FC haven't matched Torreense's recent run of results.
  • Lusitania FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
Torreense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Torreense
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.42 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Torreense
2:2
May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Torreense
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Lusitania FC
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Torreense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mandiang S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutombo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 95 / 100
Torreense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lusitania FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lusitania FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Torreense conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS Torreense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

Torreense

(Away)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
6 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
7 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
9 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
10 SC Farense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)