Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs Torreense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Silverio
37' Event
Pereira M.
Assist: Joao Vasco
39'
Joao Vasco

AI Match Summary

Torreense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lusitania FC
6%
Draws
90%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torreense lately — more wins on the board than Lusitania FC.
  • Torreense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Torreense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 16%
Torreense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Torreense
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Torreense
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Lusitania FC
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Torreense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Drammeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zohi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 10 / 100
Torreense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Torreense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusitania FC scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Torreense let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Lusitania FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS Torreense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934