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Lusitania FC vs Vila Cortez

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC host Vila Cortez in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021. Lusitania FC go into this one as the clear favorite. Vila Cortez have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Lusitania FC have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Lusitania FC have won 2 to Vila Cortez's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2021, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.25) point toward Lusitania FC. Lusitania FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lusitania FC
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Cortez
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lusitania FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vila Cortez.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Lusitania FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Vila Cortez
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Lusitania FC
0:4
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Vila Cortez
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 95 / 100
Vila Cortez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Vila Cortez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitania FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Vila Cortez let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lusitania FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vila Cortez lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864