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Stadium Background

Lusitano GC vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lusitano GC
20%
Draws
60%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses have won more games recently than Lusitano GC.
  • Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 90%.
  • CF Os Belenenses arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Os Belenenses, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CF Os Belenenses here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 16%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano GC CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 1.78
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Lusitano GC vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs CF Os Belenenses
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano GC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano GC 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano GC CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano GC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Lusitano GC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CF Os Belenenses has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano GC VS CF Os Belenenses
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano GC

(Home)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6

CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
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Feirense -
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Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal -
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Tondela -
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Alverca -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
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Famalicao -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
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Arouca -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
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Figueirense -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
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Tirsense -
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Santa Clara -
Santarem -
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Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
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Gil Vicente -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
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AFS -
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Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
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Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
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Nacional -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
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Casa Pia -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
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Rio Ave -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
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Vinhais -
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Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
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SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
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Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
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Amarante FC -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
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Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
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Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
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Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
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Leixoes -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
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Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
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FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
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Lajense -
Olhanense -
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Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
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Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
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Portimonense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
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1/64-finals
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
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Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
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1/32-finals
SC Salgueiros -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense -
Maritimo -
Tondela -
Alverca -
Paredes -
Famalicao -
CF Os Belenenses -
Arouca -
Fazendense -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra -
Santa Clara -
Santarem -
Gil Vicente -
AFS -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Sanjoanense -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
Casa Pia -
Louletano -
Rio Ave -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
SC Farense -
AD Marco 09 -
Academica -
Amarante FC -
Leiria -
GD Braganca -
Atletico CP -
Vizela -
Chaves -
Os Marialvas -
SC Vianense -
Leixoes -
Penafiel -
Leca -
FC Felgueiras -
AD Fafe -
Olhanense -
Oliveira Hospital -
Lusitania FC -
AD Limianos -
Vitoria Setubal -
Uniao Da Serra -
Florgrade -
Portimonense -
Brito -
Vitoria Sernache -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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