Sport Picks
Lusitano GC vs Mafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Campo Estrela, Evora 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Lusitano GC and Mafra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano GC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mafra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mafra a 55% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lusitano GC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lusitano GC | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lusitano GC Compare
Mafra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Lusitano GC's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Mafra conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Lusitano GC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lusitano GC
(Home)Mafra
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Leca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Sao Joao de Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | 5 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Santarem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Caldas SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
