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Lusitano VRSA vs CDR Quarteirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lusitano VRSA
28%
Draws
22%
CDR Quarteirense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lusitano VRSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lusitano VRSA have won more games recently than CDR Quarteirense.
  • Model gives Lusitano VRSA a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lusitano VRSA Clean Sheet 20%
CDR Quarteirense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano VRSA CDR Quarteirense
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Lusitano VRSA vs CDR Quarteirense
2:2
Mar 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA
0:1
Nov 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Lusitano VRSA vs CDR Quarteirense
1:0
Aug 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano VRSA 49 / 100
CDR Quarteirense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano VRSA CDR Quarteirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDR Quarteirense let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CDR Quarteirense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lusitano VRSA scored in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano VRSA VS CDR Quarteirense
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Angrense1465319:1841
2Moura AC1475219:837
3Lusitano VRSA1445520:1831
4SC Praiense1445520:2330
5Atletico SC1449117:1227
6Aljustrelense1435617:3123
7CDR Quarteirense1436519:1522
8Ferreiras1426617:2322