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Lusitanos vs Sant Julia

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2018/2019 game between Lusitanos and Sant Julia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sant Julia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lusitanos
20%
Draws
0%
Sant Julia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sant Julia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lusitanos's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 20%
Sant Julia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitanos Sant Julia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.87 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Sant Julia
0:3
Feb 3, 2019 Primera Divisió
Sant Julia vs Lusitanos
5:0
Oct 28, 2018 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Sant Julia
0:1
May 6, 2018 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Sant Julia
2:0
Apr 15, 2018 Primera Divisió
Sant Julia vs Lusitanos
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitanos 49 / 100
Sant Julia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitanos Sant Julia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant Julia let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sant Julia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lusitanos found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Sant Julia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitanos

(Home)
19 Jan
Carroi
3 : 1
Lusitanos
29 May
Lusitanos
1 : 1
Carroi
22 May
Carroi
1 : 0
Lusitanos
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
11 May
Lusitanos
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

Sant Julia

(Away)
21 May
Sant Julia
1 : 2
Ordino
14 May
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Sant Julia
07 May
Sant Julia
0 : 5
Inter Escaldes
30 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Sant Julia
23 Apr
Sant Julia
1 : 2
Penya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Julia 21 13 6 2 42:16 45
2 FC Santa Coloma 21 12 7 2 32:12 43
3 Inter Escaldes 21 12 4 5 30:21 40
4 UE Engordany 21 8 7 6 26:24 31
5 Ordino 21 7 2 12 27:32 23
6 UE Santa Coloma 21 5 6 10 25:29 21
7 Lusitanos 21 5 4 12 21:38 19
8 Encamp 21 2 4 15 16:47 10
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Championship Group)