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Luverdense vs Academia

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Roberto J.
47' Event
Joaozinho
77' Event
Erivelton

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luverdense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Luverdense
30%
Draws
0%
Academia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luverdense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Luverdense have won more games recently than Academia.
  • Win probability leans Luverdense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Luverdense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luverdense Academia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Luverdense
0:1
Feb 15, 2024 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Academia
3:2
Mar 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Academia
2:1
Feb 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Academia vs Luverdense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joaozinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erivelton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Academia Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luverdense 95 / 100
Academia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luverdense Academia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luverdense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Academia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Academia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Luverdense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Luverdense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luverdense

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
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Academia

(Away)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 8 1 0 19:5 25
2 Cuiaba 9 5 4 0 20:8 19
3 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
4 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 10:10 14
5 Mixto 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 2 4 9:9 11
7 Primavera AC 9 1 5 3 5:8 8
8 Academia 9 2 0 7 8:14 6
9 Dom Bosco 9 1 3 5 6:18 6
10 Araguaia 9 1 2 6 4:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)