Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luverdense vs Mixto

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Passo das Emas, Lucas do Rio Verde
Sun, Mar 8, 2026
0 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

68'
68'
69'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Luverdense
35%
Draws
22%
Mixto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luverdense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luverdense come out ahead of Mixto on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Luverdense taking it.
  • Luverdense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mixto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 68%
Mixto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luverdense Mixto
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 15
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Mixto
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Luverdense
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Mixto
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Luverdense vs Mixto
0:0
May 3, 2025 Serie D
Mixto vs Luverdense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luverdense 46 / 100
Mixto 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luverdense Mixto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luverdense scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Mixto conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.

Luverdense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Luverdense VS Mixto
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luverdense

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

Mixto

(Away)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Luverdense -
TBD -
Sport Sinop 1
Cuiaba 0
Mixto -
TBD -
Operario VG 3
Nova Mutum EC 2
Semi-finals
Luverdense 3
Sport Sinop 2
Mixto 3
Operario VG 2
Final
Luverdense 0
Mixto 1