Sport Picks

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Luverdense vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Passo das Emas, Lucas do Rio Verde
Sun, Feb 22, 2026
2 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Pinheiro D.
52' Event
Hitalo
81' Event
Fransergio
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Luverdense
35%
Draws
37%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Luverdense have won more games recently than Sport Sinop.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Luverdense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Luverdense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 26%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luverdense Sport Sinop
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Sport Sinop
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
1:2
Feb 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitalo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luverdense 33 / 100
Sport Sinop 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luverdense Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luverdense scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Sport Sinop let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Luverdense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luverdense VS Sport Sinop
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luverdense

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Luverdense -
TBD -
Sport Sinop 1
Cuiaba 0
Mixto -
TBD -
Operario VG 3
Nova Mutum EC 2
Semi-finals
Luverdense 3
Sport Sinop 2
Mixto 3
Operario VG 2
Final
Luverdense 0
Mixto 1