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Luxembourg U17 vs Italy U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luxembourg U17 host Italy U17 in the Euro U17. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Italy U17 have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Luxembourg U17 have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Italy U17 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2022, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.70 xG vs 1.49) point toward Italy U17. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Luxembourg U17
30%
Draws
37%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 have won more games recently than Luxembourg U17.
  • Luxembourg U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Luxembourg U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.35
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Euro U17
Luxembourg U17 vs Italy U17
0:1
Oct 24, 2019 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Luxembourg U17
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg U17 48 / 100
Italy U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luxembourg U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Italy U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Luxembourg U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luxembourg U17 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg U17 VS Italy U17
2.4 Goals Scored 2.38
0.6 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg U17

(Home)
28 Apr
Luxembourg U17
0 : 1
Hungary U17
25 Apr
Luxembourg U17
5 : 0
Liechtenstein U17
22 Apr
Armenia U17
2 : 2
Luxembourg U17
19 Feb
Luxembourg U17
3 : 0
Malta U17
17 Feb
Luxembourg U17
2 : 0
Malta U17
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Estonia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ireland U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Wales U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azerbaijan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Germany U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Lithuania U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northern Ireland U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Switzerland U17 2 1 1 0 13:0 4
3 Israel U17 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Liechtenstein U17 2 0 0 2 0:21 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Finland U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Scotland U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sweden U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Netherlands U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Norway U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Slovakia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Andorra U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bulgaria U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Portugal U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Serbia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland U17 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Greece U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gibraltar U17 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus U17 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Czech Republic U17 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Slovenia U17 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Moldova U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Montenegro U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Poland U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ukraine U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Armenia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 France U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Italy U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luxembourg U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hungary U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 San Marino U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Turkey U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Croatia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Latvia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kosovo U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cyprus U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Faroe Islands U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Romania U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Georgia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kazakhstan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)