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Luxembourg U17 vs Poland U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Fernandez Berenguer O.
46'
Sub
Wyganowski A. In: Hancko A.
Out: Wyganowski A.
59'
Hancko A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2026 game between Luxembourg U17 and Poland U17 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luxembourg U17
20%
Draws
40%
Poland U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poland U17 come out ahead of Luxembourg U17 on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Luxembourg U17 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Poland U17 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Luxembourg U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Poland U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg U17 Poland U17
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U17
Luxembourg U17 vs Poland U17
0:1
Oct 28, 2018 Euro U17
Poland U17 vs Luxembourg U17
7:3
Mar 29, 2012 Euro U17
Luxembourg U17 vs Poland U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Poland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyrak H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg U17 48 / 100
Poland U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg U17 Poland U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luxembourg U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Poland U17 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Luxembourg U17 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Luxembourg U17 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg U17 VS Poland U17
1.71 Goals Scored 2
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg U17

(Home)
28 Apr
Luxembourg U17
0 : 1
Hungary U17
25 Apr
Luxembourg U17
5 : 0
Liechtenstein U17
22 Apr
Armenia U17
2 : 2
Luxembourg U17
19 Feb
Luxembourg U17
3 : 0
Malta U17
17 Feb
Luxembourg U17
2 : 0
Malta U17
Page 1 of 6

Poland U17

(Away)
27 Sept
Poland U17
2 : 1
Ireland U17
25 Sept
Poland U17
4 : 1
Czech Republic U17
31 Mar
Poland U17
1 : 1
Croatia U17
28 Mar
Slovakia U17
0 : 4
Poland U17
25 Mar
Ireland U17
3 : 0
Poland U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro U17 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Italy U17 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Ukraine U17 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Estonia U17 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U17 3 3 0 0 22:1 9
2 North Macedonia U17 3 1 1 1 11:4 4
3 Hungary U17 3 1 1 1 11:9 4
4 Gibraltar U17 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden U17 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Scotland U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Lithuania U17 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 England U17 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Denmark U17 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Latvia U17 3 1 0 2 7:9 3
4 Andorra U17 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Norway U17 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Belarus U17 3 1 0 2 9:10 3
4 Moldova U17 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Austria U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Faroe Islands U17 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Kosovo U17 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U17 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Serbia U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
4 Malta U17 3 0 1 2 2:11 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kazakhstan U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Netherlands U17 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Albania U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 2 1 0 14:1 7
2 Romania U17 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Israel U17 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Azerbaijan U17 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia U17 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Switzerland U17 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 Bulgaria U17 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 San Marino U17 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cyprus U17 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Northern Ireland U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Finland U17 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Armenia U17 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U17 3 2 1 0 15:3 7
2 Slovenia U17 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Wales U17 3 1 1 1 13:3 4
4 Liechtenstein U17 3 0 0 3 0:26 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Poland U17 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Luxembourg U17 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland U17 2 2 0 0 9:4 6
2 Greece U17 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Georgia U17 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 2026 (Round 2 - League B)