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Luxembourg U21 vs Montenegro U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Babic A.
Assist: Mijovic L.
18'
Pesukic D.
22'
Correia L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2023 game between Luxembourg U21 and Montenegro U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montenegro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Luxembourg U21
35%
Draws
19%
Montenegro U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luxembourg U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montenegro U21 come out ahead of Luxembourg U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Montenegro U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg U21 Montenegro U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.57 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2022 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Luxembourg U21
3:0
Jun 4, 2021 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:2
Oct 12, 2018 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Luxembourg U21
3:0
Mar 23, 2018 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olesen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Montenegro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Babic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krstovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg U21 30 / 100
Montenegro U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg U21 Montenegro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Montenegro U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Luxembourg U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luxembourg U21 found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg U21 VS Montenegro U21
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Faroe Islands U21
0 : 1
Luxembourg U21
25 Sept
Switzerland U21
5 : 0
Luxembourg U21
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0
Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1
Switzerland U21
Page 1 of 6

Montenegro U21

(Away)
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 10 8 0 2 26:11 24
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 25:10 22
3 Finland U21 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
4 Austria U21 10 5 1 4 22:13 16
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 1 7 12:24 7
6 Estonia U21 10 0 0 10 0:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:9 27
2 Israel U21 10 6 1 3 19:10 19
3 Poland U21 10 5 3 2 26:9 18
4 Hungary U21 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
5 Latvia U21 10 2 1 7 5:19 7
6 San Marino U21 10 0 1 9 0:34 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 0 3 18:10 15
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 2 1 5 8:18 7
4 Lithuania U21 8 2 1 5 7:22 7
5 Malta U21 8 2 0 6 10:25 6
6 Russia U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 1 0 41:3 28
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 25:7 18
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Belarus U21 10 4 0 6 16:15 12
5 Cyprus U21 10 3 2 5 16:16 11
6 Liechtenstein U21 10 0 0 10 0:63 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 8 2 0 32:3 26
2 Switzerland U21 10 7 2 1 22:6 23
3 Moldova U21 10 3 3 4 7:12 12
4 Wales U21 10 3 2 5 15:14 11
5 Bulgaria U21 10 2 4 4 10:11 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 1 9 1:41 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 7 3 0 19:5 24
2 Ireland U21 10 6 1 3 16:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 3 2 22:8 18
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 10 3 2 5 9:16 11
5 Montenegro U21 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Luxembourg U21 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 26:7 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Slovenia U21 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 8:13 12
5 Albania U21 10 3 1 6 9:17 10
6 Andorra U21 10 0 0 10 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 31:5 26
2 Ukraine U21 10 7 2 1 20:11 23
3 Serbia U21 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 2 4 4 6:12 10
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
6 Armenia U21 10 1 0 9 7:28 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 6 2 0 14:2 20
2 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 12:6 17
3 Turkey U21 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
4 Scotland U21 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
5 Kazakhstan U21 8 0 2 6 4:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2023 (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams