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Luzenac vs Valenciennes

France France

Ligue 2 2014/2015
Fri, May 1, 2015
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzenac host Valenciennes in the Ligue 2 2014/2015. Little to choose between these two on current form. Luzenac have averaged 2 scored and 5 conceded recently, against Valenciennes's 1.24 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Luzenac have won 0 to Valenciennes's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 1, 2015, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.05) point toward Valenciennes. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luzenac
25%
Draws
35%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Luzenac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valenciennes come out ahead of Luzenac on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luzenac Clean Sheet 20%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzenac Valenciennes
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2 1.24
Goals Conceded 5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2015 Ligue 2
Luzenac vs Valenciennes
0:0
Dec 12, 2014 Ligue 2
Valenciennes vs Luzenac
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzenac 32 / 100
Valenciennes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzenac Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzenac's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Defensive concern: Valenciennes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Valenciennes has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valenciennes
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzenac

(Home)
18 Nov
Luzenac
2 : 5
Rodez

Valenciennes

(Away)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 38 24 6 8 61:24 78
2 GFC Ajaccio 38 18 11 9 49:37 65
3 Angers 38 18 10 10 47:30 64
4 Dijon 38 17 10 11 44:34 61
5 Nancy 38 15 13 10 53:39 58
6 Brest 38 14 15 9 41:27 57
7 Le Havre 38 14 13 11 47:37 55
8 Laval 38 11 21 6 41:34 54
9 Auxerre 38 12 16 10 48:42 52
10 Sochaux 38 13 13 12 39:37 52
11 Niort 38 11 17 10 41:42 50
12 Clermont 38 12 13 13 43:47 49
13 Nimes 38 12 10 16 44:57 46
14 Creteil 38 10 15 13 44:52 45
15 Tours 38 12 8 18 49:54 44
16 Valenciennes 38 10 12 16 34:51 42
17 AC Ajaccio 38 9 14 15 32:42 41
18 Orleans 38 9 13 16 36:47 40
19 Chateauroux 38 7 11 20 31:63 32
20 Arles-Avignon 38 7 9 22 31:59 30
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)