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Luzern II vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Luzern II play Bavois in the Promotion League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Luzern II averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bavois averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Luzern II won 2, Bavois won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Luzern II and 2.19 for Bavois. This points to a Bavois double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luzern II
33%
Draws
27%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luzern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bavois has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Luzern II.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Luzern II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Promotion League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern II Bavois
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Bavois
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
3:1
Nov 27, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Bavois
0:3
Apr 17, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knaak H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Eleouet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern II 38 / 100
Bavois 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern II Bavois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern II scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Bavois let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Luzern II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bavois lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern II VS Bavois
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132