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Luzern II vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023
Wed, Apr 19, 2023
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzern II host Chiasso in the Promotion League 2022/2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Luzern II have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.2 conceded recently, against Chiasso's 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded. Head-to-head, Luzern II have won 0 to Chiasso's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.67 - 1.75) back Chiasso to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Luzern II
20%
Draws
51%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiasso have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Luzern II are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 12%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern II Chiasso
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.93 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Chiasso
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Luzern II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern II 30 / 100
Chiasso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern II Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Chiasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Luzern II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzern II VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern II

(Home)
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
30 Aug
Young Boys II
2 : 2
Luzern II
22 Aug
Luzern II
2 : 3
Bulle
Page 1 of 6

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)