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Luzern vs Servette

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Stevanovic M.
Assist: Mendes H.
39' Event
Lopes T.
Assist: Mendes H.
46'
Sub
Meyer S. In: Spadanuda K.
Out: Meyer S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Luzern and Servette finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Luzern
30%
Draws
27%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Luzern carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luzern's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Luzern Clean Sheet 15%
Servette Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Servette
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Luzern
1:1
May 9, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Servette
3:3
Apr 6, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Luzern
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Servette
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Luzern
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Winkler L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajrami A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevanovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 66 / 100
Servette 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzern scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Luzern has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Servette's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Servette
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
22 Aug
Luzern
1 : 0
Lausanne
16 Aug
Buochs
0 : 3
Luzern
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Servette

(Away)
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
15 Aug
Bavois
0 : 7
Servette
08 Aug
Servette
2 : 1
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)