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Luzern vs Servette

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Stevanovic M.
Assist: Mendes H.
39' Event
Lopes T.
Assist: Mendes H.
46'
Sub
Meyer S. In: Spadanuda K.
Out: Meyer S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Luzern and Servette finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Luzern
17%
Draws
13%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Luzern carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luzern's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Luzern Clean Sheet 13%
Servette Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Servette
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Servette
3:3
Apr 6, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Luzern
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Servette
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Luzern
2:2
May 18, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Servette
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Winkler L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajrami A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevanovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 66 / 100
Servette 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzern scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Servette has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Luzern stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Servette
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
16 May
Winterthur
0 : 3
Luzern
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Servette

(Away)
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Luzern3814111376:6653
8Servette3813141171:6353
9Lausanne381191853:6742
10Zurich381152249:7238
11Grasshoppers38892148:7433
12Winterthur38582544:10023
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)