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Luzern vs St. Truiden

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzern play St. Truiden in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Luzern averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. St. Truiden averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Luzern won 2, St. Truiden won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Luzern and 1.38 for St. Truiden. This points to a St. Truiden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Luzern
15%
Draws
43%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzern picked up more points recently compared to St. Truiden.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Luzern Clean Sheet 17%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Luzern vs St. Truiden
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Luzern
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Luzern vs St. Truiden
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Luzern
1-2
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Luzern vs St. Truiden
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 41 / 100
St. Truiden 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern St. Truiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Truiden or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luzern attacking → ← attacking St. Truiden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

St. Truiden let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Luzern went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St. Truiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 50
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00