Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzern vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Luzern Logo

Luzern

1 - 3
FT
Thun Logo

Thun

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Knezevic S.
Assist: Kabwit O.
8' Event
Maier N.
Assist: Gutbub M.
50'
Dorn P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luzern
6%
Draws
4%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thun have won more games recently than Luzern.
  • Luzern are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thun here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Luzern Clean Sheet 16%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Thun
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Thun
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Luzern
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Luzern
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Thun
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Thun vs Luzern
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Maier N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutbub M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 84 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thun let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Luzern remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Thun
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
16 May
Winterthur
0 : 3
Luzern
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
17 May
St. Gallen
1 : 1
Thun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lausanne00000:00
2Lugano00000:00
3Servette00000:00
4Basel00000:00
5Young Boys00000:00
6Zurich00000:00
7Grasshoppers00000:00
8Luzern00000:00
9Sion00000:00
10St. Gallen00000:00
11Thun00000:00
12Vaduz00000:00
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)