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Luzern vs Vaduz

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Freimann B. H.
38'
Simani D.
38'
Ciganiks A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Luzern and Vaduz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Luzern
20%
Draws
34%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luzern a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Luzern Clean Sheet 68%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Vaduz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.24 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Vaduz
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Vaduz vs Luzern
1:0
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Vaduz
4:1
May 1, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Luzern
1:2
Feb 24, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Luzern
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Dantas Fernandes R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toggenburger N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Stark J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 59 / 100
Vaduz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzern scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Vaduz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Luzern has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Vaduz
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)