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Luzern vs Winterthur

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Dorn P.
9' Event
Villiger L.
28' Event

AI Match Summary

Luzern in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Luzern
35%
Draws
39%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Winterthur haven't matched Luzern's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Luzern Clean Sheet 17%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Winterthur
3:2
May 16, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorn P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villiger L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Winterthur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 20 / 100
Winterthur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Winterthur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Luzern has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Winterthur
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
09 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 2
Luzern
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0
Luzern
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
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Winterthur

(Away)
07 Aug
Winterthur
5 : 0
Wil
31 Jul
Kriens
2 : 0
Winterthur
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
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