Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luziania vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Luziania Logo

Luziania

7 - 0
FT
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gois de Souza P. H.
14' Event
Sousa Carvalho J.
21' Event
Saavedra G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luziania in this Brasiliense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luziania
15%
Draws
0%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Luziania have won more games recently than Botafogo DF.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Botafogo DF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
7:0
Mar 23, 2013 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Luziania
1:3
Mar 7, 2010 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
2:1
Jan 30, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Luziania
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Gois de Souza P. H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Saavedra G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Botafogo DF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo DF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luziania's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Botafogo DF
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
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Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)