Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luziania vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gois de Souza P. H.
14' Event
Sousa Carvalho J.
21' Event
Saavedra G.

AI Match Summary

Luziania in this Brasiliense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luziania
6%
Draws
4%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luziania average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Botafogo DF's 0.43.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Botafogo DF
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 2.25 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
7:0
Mar 23, 2013 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Luziania
1:3
Mar 7, 2010 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Botafogo DF
2:1
Jan 30, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Luziania
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Gois de Souza P. H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Saavedra G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Botafogo DF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo DF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luziania's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Botafogo DF
2.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
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Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Taguatinga752022:217
2Sobradinho743029:515
3SESP Brasilia742110:214
4Legiao741216:313
5Luziania730417:89
6Gremio Valparaiso73048:219
7Riacho City71066:403
8Botafogo DF70073:300
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)