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Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kurbiel P.
37' Event
Krefft J.
55' Event
Radomski A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Luzino and Grom Nowy Staw finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Luzino
15%
Draws
28%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Grom Nowy Staw haven't matched Luzino's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Luzino taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 19 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.32 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw
5:1
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurbiel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krefft J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Radomski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 83 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzino scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Grom Nowy Staw let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Luzino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Grom Nowy Staw
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 6

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)