Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzino vs Lipno Steszew

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kaczmarek D.
27' Event
Zietarski R.
71' Event
Krefft J.

AI Match Summary

Luzino in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Luzino
15%
Draws
21%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lipno Steszew haven't matched Luzino's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Luzino taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Luzino here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Luzino Clean Sheet 20%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.32 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Lipno Steszew
2:1
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Luzino
0:5
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Lipno Steszew
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Zietarski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krefft J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 85 / 100
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzino's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Lipno Steszew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Luzino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Lipno Steszew
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)