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Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Sosnowski F.
71' Event
Skurat S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Luzino and Notec Czarnkow finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Luzino
15%
Draws
21%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzino come out ahead of Notec Czarnkow on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Luzino taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Luzino Clean Sheet 17%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.27 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Luzino
0:2
Mar 29, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Luzino
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosnowski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skurat S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 84 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzino scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Notec Czarnkow conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Luzino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Notec Czarnkow
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 10 8 1 1 30:10 25
2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 7 3 0 29:16 24
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Wda Swiecie 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
5 KKS Kalisz 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
6 Blekitni Stargard 10 4 3 3 22:19 15
7 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 Swinoujscie 10 4 2 4 15:17 14
9 Grom Nowy Staw 10 4 1 5 27:25 13
10 Notec Czarnkow 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
11 Baltyk Koszalin 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
12 Gedania Gdansk 10 2 4 4 23:24 10
13 Unia Swarzedz 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
14 Kotwica Kornik 10 3 1 6 18:25 10
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 1 6 3 16:21 9
16 Elana Torun 10 1 4 5 13:21 7
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 10 1 4 5 11:23 7
18 Lipno Steszew 10 1 2 7 11:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)