Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzino vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzino host Swinoujscie in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Luzino have averaged 2.25 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Swinoujscie's 1.23 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Luzino slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.38 - 1.13) back Luzino to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Luzino
15%
Draws
21%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luzino have won more games recently than Swinoujscie.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Luzino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Luzino Clean Sheet 20%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Swinoujscie
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Swinoujscie
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Luzino
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Luzino
1:4
Sep 30, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Swinoujscie
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzino scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Swinoujscie has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Swinoujscie lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Swinoujscie
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
31 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
5 : 2
Luzino
24 Oct
Luzino
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
17 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 2
Luzino
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

Swinoujscie

(Away)
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2
Swinoujscie
18 Oct
Wda Swiecie
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
3 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
4 Kluczevia Stargard 14 8 2 4 25:22 26
5 Lech Poznan II 14 7 3 4 36:27 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)