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Lye Town vs Stourbridge Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Steward A.
44' Event
Ball E.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Jones A.

AI Match Summary

Lye Town in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lye Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lye Town
20%
Draws
50%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stourbridge lately — more wins on the board than Lye Town.
  • Win probability leans Stourbridge's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lye Town Clean Sheet 10%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lye Town Stourbridge
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Lye Town vs Stourbridge
2:1
Jul 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Lye Town vs Stourbridge
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lye Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Steward A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stourbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lye Town 18 / 100
Stourbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lye Town Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stourbridge conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Lye Town found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lye Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lye Town VS Stourbridge
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lye Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Lye Town
1 : 5
Racing Club Warwick
03 Aug
Kettering
4 : 1
Lye Town
18 Jul
Lye Town
2 : 1
Stourbridge
16 Jul
Stratford
2 : 0
Lye Town
08 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Lye Town
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Stourbridge

(Away)
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3
Rushall
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