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Lyn 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyn 2 host Sarpsborg 08 2 in the Division 3 - Group 6. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Lyn 2 at 2.14 goals for, 2.72 against; Sarpsborg 08 2 at 1.97 for, 2.34 against. Head-to-head, Lyn 2 have won 0 to Sarpsborg 08 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 6:3. xG projections (2.81 - 2.81) back Lyn 2 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lyn 2
15%
Draws
57%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lyn 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Lyn 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyn 2 Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Lyn 2
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyn 2 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyn 2 Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lyn 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sarpsborg 08 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Lyn 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyn 2 VS Sarpsborg 08 2
3.63 Goals Scored 3
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyn 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Gjovik-Lyn
2 : 0
Lyn 2
07 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Lyn 2
31 Aug
Lyn 2
4 : 3
Sandefjord 2
17 Aug
Lillehammer
4 : 1
Lyn 2
10 Aug
Lyn 2
4 : 3
Fram
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
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