Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyn vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Bislett Stadium, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hellum A.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Hovland E.
Own Goal
37' Event
Hellum A.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Lyn and Sogndal finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lyn
30%
Draws
23%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogndal haven't matched Lyn's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lyn taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lyn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lyn Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyn Sogndal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Sogndal
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Lyn
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Sogndal
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Lyn
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Lyn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hellum A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyn 65 / 100
Sogndal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyn Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lyn's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lyn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyn VS Sogndal
3 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyn

(Home)
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Lyn
13 Sept
Hodd
0 : 2
Lyn
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
30 Aug
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Lyn
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Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)