Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyn vs Stabaek

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Bislett Stadium, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dahlby M.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Olderheim S.
20'
Fredriksen D.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Lyn and Stabaek finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lyn
6%
Draws
90%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lyn haven't matched Stabaek's recent run of results.
  • Stabaek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lyn Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyn Stabaek
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Lyn
1:5
Apr 6, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
7:1
May 16, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Lyn
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Olderheim S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanstad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyn 10 / 100
Stabaek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyn Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Lyn's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stabaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Lyn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyn VS Stabaek
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyn

(Home)
02 Aug
Lyn
3 : 2
Sogndal
25 Jul
Stromsgodset
1 : 1
Lyn
02 Jul
Lyn
6 : 2
Asane
27 Jun
Lyn
1 : 4
Hodd
19 Jun
Ranheim
3 : 2
Lyn
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Stabaek

(Away)
02 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stabaek
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
27 Jun
Stabaek
2 : 0
Bryne
21 Jun
Strommen
1 : 0
Stabaek
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stabaek16103340:1633
2Kongsvinger16103343:2533
3Stromsgodset1695244:2332
4Haugesund15101444:2831
5Odds BK1684431:2028
6Hodd1673624:2624
7Egersund1672729:2823
8Ranheim1562736:3720
9Sandnes Ulf1662823:2820
10Bryne1662821:2620
11Sogndal1653830:4118
12Moss1652925:3617
13Lyn1652921:3317
14Raufoss16511019:3416
15Strommen1643921:3715
16Asane16421024:3713
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)