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Lyngbo vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 7 2015 game between Lyngbo and Varegg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lyngbo
15%
Draws
39%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyngbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varegg come out ahead of Lyngbo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lyngbo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 7 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lyngbo Clean Sheet 14%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyngbo Varegg
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.54 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Lyngbo
4:1
Jun 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
0:2
Sep 4, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
3:3
May 14, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Lyngbo
2:2
Aug 22, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyngbo 41 / 100
Varegg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyngbo Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyngbo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Varegg let in goals in 82% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Lyngbo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyngbo VS Varegg
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyngbo

(Home)
26 Oct
Lyngbo
1 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
18 Oct
Fana
2 : 1
Lyngbo
11 Oct
Lyngbo
2 : 2
OS TF
05 Oct
Lyn 2
1 : 4
Lyngbo
27 Sept
Lyngbo
4 : 2
Gneist IL
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Varegg

(Away)
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
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